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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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  vs.

COLCHESTER UNITED vs. MORECAMBE
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Colchester United vs. Morecambe.

Venue Wins for equivalent team
to Colchester United
(ELO score: 3426)
Draws Wins for equivalent team
to Morecambe
(ELO score: 3466)
TOTAL 1 1 1
Home 1 1 0
Away 0 0 1

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
16 APR 2016 CONF Dover Athletic  
(3426)  
1 - 1   Grimsby Town
  (3466)
0.1
1 MAR 2003 LGE Macclesfield Town  
(3426)  
2 - 1   Southend United
  (3466)
9.3
29 SEP 1961 LGE Stockport County  
(3466)  
2 - 0   Accrington Stanley
  (3426)
9.1

 

A historical comparison of Colchester United's and Morecambe's ELO scores.


  Colchester United   Morecambe  
  Current ELO Score: 3425.7   3466.2  
  Best ELO Score: 3840.6  
Saturday, April 21, 2007  
3611.3  
Tuesday, September 28, 2021  
  Worst ELO Score: 3361  
Tuesday, August 30, 1994  
3338.9  
Tuesday, September 12, 1995  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Colchester United and Morecambe.

 Venue Played Colchester United
wins
Draws Morecambe
wins
Colchester United
goals
Morecambe
goals
Colchester United
SR%
Morecambe
SR%
 TOTAL 12 2 6 4 8 13 41.7% 58.3%
 HOME 6 0 3 3 4 8 25.0% 75.0%
 AWAY 6 2 3 1 4 5 58.3% 41.7%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
27 JAN 2024 LGE Morecambe  
(3545)  
0 - 1   Colchester United
  (3400)
14.8
7 OCT 2023 LGE Colchester United  
(3462)  
1 - 3   Morecambe
  (3552)
12.7
23 JAN 2021 LGE Morecambe  
(3464)  
3 - 0   Colchester United
  (3516)
18.1
19 DEC 2020 LGE Colchester United  
(3550)  
1 - 2   Morecambe
  (3452)
13.8
11 JAN 2020 LGE Morecambe  
(3378)  
1 - 1   Colchester United
  (3579)
4.3
19 OCT 2019 LGE Colchester United  
(3546)  
0 - 1   Morecambe
  (3393)
15
29 DEC 2018 LGE Colchester United  
(3533)  
0 - 0   Morecambe
  (3412)
4.3
20 OCT 2018 LGE Morecambe  
(3412)  
0 - 1   Colchester United
  (3542)
7.5
20 MAR 2018 LGE Morecambe  
(3450)  
0 - 0   Colchester United
  (3505)
0.5
18 NOV 2017 LGE Colchester United  
(3535)  
0 - 0   Morecambe
  (3397)
4.7
17 APR 2017 LGE Morecambe  
(3402)  
1 - 1   Colchester United
  (3529)
2.6
22 OCT 2016 LGE Colchester United  
(3503)  
2 - 2   Morecambe
  (3418)
3.3